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Prediction error and myopic shift after intraocular lens implantation in paediatric cataract patients
  1. N E D Hoevenaars1,
  2. J R Polling1,2,
  3. R C W Wolfs1
  1. 1Department of Ophthalmology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
  2. 2Hogeschool Utrecht, University of Applied Sciences, Utrecht, The Netherlands
  1. Correspondence to Dr R C W Wolfs, Erasmus University Medical Center, Department of Ophthalmology, 3000-CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands; r.wolfs{at}


Aim To determine the amount of myopic shift in children after cataract surgery with intraocular lens (IOL) implantation and to evaluate success in achieving the target refraction.

Methods The children were assigned into three groups depending on age at time of surgery: Group A, 0–1 years old; Group B, 1–7 years old; Group C, 7–18 years old. Multiple regression analysis was used to create a formula for expected myopic shift and to find out which variables were associated with a higher absolute prediction error.

Results Children less than 12 months of age experienced higher myopic shifts and a larger mean rate of refractive change per year compared with older children. We found higher myopic shifts in younger children at time of surgery and children with unilateral cataract. Absolute prediction error was significantly higher in Group A compared with Groups B and C (p=0.022 and p=0.037, respectively). Multiple regression analysis showed that corneal radius was the only variable significantly associated with absolute prediction error.

Conclusion Our data demonstrate the complexity in predicting the postoperative refraction in children under 1 year old and show that age at surgery and laterality are factors to consider when deciding which IOL power to implant in children.

  • Cataract
  • intraocular lens
  • paediatric
  • infants
  • lens and zonules
  • treatment surgery
  • child health (paediatrics)

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  • Competing interests None.

  • Ethics approval This study was conducted with the approval of the Ethics Committee Erasmus MC University Hospital.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

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