Article Text
Abstract
Background The crystalline lens is a transparent structure of the eye to focus light on the retina. It becomes muddy, hard and dense with increasing age, which makes the crystalline lens gradually lose its function. We aim to develop a nuclear age predictor to reflect the degeneration of the crystalline lens nucleus.
Methods First we trained and internally validated the nuclear age predictor with a deep-learning algorithm, using 12 904 anterior segment optical coherence tomography (AS-OCT) images from four diverse Asian and American cohorts: Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center with Machine0 (ZOM0), Tomey Corporation (TOMEY), University of California San Francisco and the Chinese University of Hong Kong. External testing was done on three independent datasets: Tokyo University (TU), ZOM1 and Shenzhen People’s Hospital (SPH). We also demonstrate the possibility of detecting nuclear cataracts (NCs) from the nuclear age gap.
Findings In the internal validation dataset, the nuclear age could be predicted with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.570 years (95% CI 1.886 to 2.863). Across the three external testing datasets, the algorithm achieved MAEs of 4.261 years (95% CI 3.391 to 5.094) in TU, 3.920 years (95% CI 3.332 to 4.637) in ZOM1-NonCata and 4.380 years (95% CI 3.730 to 5.061) in SPH-NonCata. The MAEs for NC eyes were 8.490 years (95% CI 7.219 to 9.766) in ZOM1-NC and 9.998 years (95% CI 5.673 to 14.642) in SPH-NC. The nuclear age gap outperformed both ophthalmologists in detecting NCs, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.853 years (95% CI 0.787 to 0.917) in ZOM1 and 0.909 years (95% CI 0.828 to 0.978) in SPH.
Interpretation The nuclear age predictor shows good performance, validating the feasibility of using AS-OCT images as an effective screening tool for nucleus degeneration. Our work also demonstrates the potential use of the nuclear age gap to detect NCs.
- degeneration
- imaging
- lens and zonules
Data availability statement
Because of ethical restrictions, the data cannot be made freely available in the manuscript, the appendix, or a public repository. Data are available to researchers who meet the criteria for access to confidential data; requests should be made to Risa Higashita (lisahigashita@gmail.com). The prediction models with Python implementation will also be available from Risa Higashita on request.
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Data availability statement
Because of ethical restrictions, the data cannot be made freely available in the manuscript, the appendix, or a public repository. Data are available to researchers who meet the criteria for access to confidential data; requests should be made to Risa Higashita (lisahigashita@gmail.com). The prediction models with Python implementation will also be available from Risa Higashita on request.
Footnotes
Contributors MG, RH, YX, HF and JL conceived and designed the study. RH, CL, WC, FL, GWKL, AN, RS, KO, MA, XZ, JY, SL and CK-SL collected the data. MG, RH, YX and HF developed the algorithm. MG, RH, CL, LH, YX and HF analysis and interpretation of the data. MG drafted the manuscript. RH, BT, YX, HF, FG, SL, CL and JL critically revised the manuscript for important intellectual content. MG, RH, YX, HF and JL were responsible for the decision to submit the manuscript. JL was the guarantor.
Funding This work was supported in part by the Guangdong Provincial Department of Education (2020ZDZX3043), Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory (2020B121201001) and Shenzhen Natural Science Fund (JCYJ20200109140820699 and the Stable Support Plan Programme 20200925174052004).
Competing interests MA, XZ, SL and CL have received support from Tomey in the form of instrument and speaker honorarium. YX is an employee of Baidu and owns stock in Baidu. SL is a consultant for IRIDEX and Eyenovia, a speaker for Bausch and Lomb, a consultant and speaker for Aerie Pharmaceuticals, and research support for Tomey. Aerie, Iridex, Bausch & Lomb and Allergan. CL has received research support in the form of research grants and instruments from Carl Zeiss Meditec, Topcon and Heidelberg Engineering and has been on the advisory board as a member for Alcon, Novartis, Santen, Aerie and Allergan.
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
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