Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
*Based on estimates for average resource utilisation made by 12 experts. †Standard deviation of estimates for average costs, which can be considered an estimate for the standard error of mean costs.12 | ||||||||||
Without discounting (discount rate 0%) | ||||||||||
Mean | 435 | 347 | 305 | 230 | 198 | 150 | 137 | 130 | 126 | 2261 |
Standard error† | 144 | 132 | 154 | 127 | 116 | 72 | 57 | 50 | 48 | 638 |
Median | 445 | 312 | 226 | 184 | 145 | 130 | 115 | 108 | 108 | 1680 |
Range | 206–688 | 192–552 | 118–534 | 103–474 | 86–431 | 86–326 | 86–249 | 86–240 | 85–240 | 857–3666 |
Discount rate 3% | ||||||||||
Mean | 435 | 337 | 287 | 210 | 176 | 129 | 115 | 105 | 100 | 2083 |
Standard error† | 144 | 128 | 145 | 116 | 103 | 62 | 48 | 41 | 38 | 585 |
Median | 445 | 303 | 213 | 168 | 129 | 112 | 97 | 87 | 85 | 1562 |
Range | 206–688 | 187–536 | 111–503 | 95–433 | 77–383 | 74–281 | 72–208 | 70–195 | 67–189 | 796–3370 |