Incremental cost effectiveness of laser photocoagulation for subfoveal choroidal neovascularization☆
Section snippets
Overview
Software produced by Treeage Inc.14 was used to perform decision analysis15 to simulate the clinical situation involving laser therapy and no therapy for the eyes of patients with subfoveal choroidal neovascularization. Markov modeling, which incorporates matrix algebra to evaluate recurrent risk, was also used in the analysis.16 The microcomputer model takes into account the mortality within the group of patients with subfoveal choroidal neovascular membranes, as well as the treatment results
Decision analysis and Markov modeling
When the utility change attributable to an interventional therapy is multiplied by the time over which the therapy has a benefit or detriment, the number of QALYs gained or lost from the treatment is the result.6, 7, 8, 9, 29 Because the visual acuity as a result of both the natural course of, as well as of laser therapy for, subfoveal choroidal neovascularization varies during the first 4 years of treatment, the number of QALYs gained or lost during this time are shown in Table 3. Of note is
Discussion
The present study found that laser treatment for subfoveal choroidal neovascularization that meets the treatment criteria set forth in the Macular Photocoagulation Study1, 2, 5 appears to be cost effective when compared with other treatment methods in medicine. Although the criteria for cost effectiveness are arbitrary, it has been suggested by Laupacis et al13 that a treatment costing less than $20,000/QALY appears to be cost effective, whereas a treatment costing more than $100,000/QALY is
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Supported in part by the Retina Research and Development Fund, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and the Principal’s Initiative Research Fund, Kingston, Ontario, Canada.